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The origin of countless conspiracy theories – PatrickJMT



View full lesson: http://ed.ted.com/lessons/the-origin-of-countless-conspiracy-theories-patrickjmt Check out PatrickJMT’s YouTube channel here: …

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39 Comments

  1. I think a lot of these sorts of coincidences give rise to religion, and more often the sort of pseudoscientific, conspiratorial new age beliefs as well. We think about occurrences that seem unlikely from the perspective of odds. Like, maybe there is a one in a million chance that you will be thinking of a person right now who will call you in a few minutes. But I noticed that if you take a step back and look at it more generally, those odd coincidences are guarunteed to happen frequently. For example, the odds of you dying in an airplane crash are something like 1 in 11 million. That makes it very unlikely for any one plane to crash, we assume. So it must be an astronomically rare event. But it isn't. Planes crash all the time, and when they do they aren't breaking any statistical odds, it's not even a coincidence when a plane crashes. A few at least are guaranteed to crash every year. But many people have noticed these seemingly strange coincidences, maybe experiencing a 1 in a million event for themselves. They interpret that, sometimes, as an outside force manipulating events in a way to either benefit, or hurt them. Whether it be a conspiracy, where the figurehead manipulating events is usually a tyrant or a government, or a religion where the figure head is a powerful, if not an all powerful deity.

  2. I think a lot of these sorts of coincidences give rise to religion, and more often the sort of pseudoscientific, conspiratorial new age beliefs as well. We think about occurrences that seem unlikely from the perspective of odds. Like, maybe there is a one in a million chance that you will be thinking of a person right now who will call you in a few minutes. But I noticed that if you take a step back and look at it more generally, those odd coincidences are guarunteed to happen frequently. For example, the odds of you dying in an airplane crash are something like 1 in 11 million. That makes it very unlikely for any one plane to crash, we assume. So it must be an astronomically rare event. But it isn't. Planes crash all the time, and when they do they aren't breaking any statistical odds, it's not even a coincidence when a plane crashes. A few at least are guaranteed to crash every year. But many people have noticed these seemingly strange coincidences, maybe experiencing a 1 in a million event for themselves. They interpret that, sometimes, as an outside force manipulating events in a way to either benefit, or hurt them. Whether it be a conspiracy, where the figurehead manipulating events is usually a tyrant or a government, or a religion where the figure head is a powerful, if not an all powerful deity.

  3. This video is really good but I don't think the title is a good one.
    I would argue that there are several origins that are part of most modern conspiracy theories that involve more than just our brains seeking patterns. The insistence of americans on denying that neopotism or a class system exists in America, for example, makes a lot of things that are just common markers for upper class people look like signs of a shady, weird group of lizard people.

  4. There's defiantly an ego factor at play in conspiracy theories as well. The idea that "I figured this out. I found the numbers, the patterns." Even the paranoids who think the government is putting microchips in their brains, think they're way more special then they really are. It's like Rust Cole says "the sense of self is the biggest mistake, natural selection ever made."

  5. Its also worth mentioning that it took math professors at MIT three years to make a program that can truly create "random" numbers. Because after a number gets high enough, a pattern will always emerge.

  6. Does anyone else find the adjective "astronomical" misleading when applied to probability? If it's describing how much of any quantity there is in the known universe, it's extremely high, but somehow it actually refers to an infinitesimal chance.

  7. does it mean if Lady Di is still alive we wouldn't think about her death is written in Moby Dick? I meant just because it had happened and there's a pattern we immediatly think it's a prophecy….

  8. Some people go to far with their conspiracies I agree… It's just irrationnal to think that some politicians are reptilians. Therefore there are some weird stuff going on. In the 60s The CIA had admitted that the MK ultra program existed but they said that it was stopped. Even intellectuals like The vlogbrothers can confirm that it really existed. So yeah some people have really been tortured by the state for science's sakes… and now some people like Cathy'Obrien claim that it's still happening and that they've been victim of it. It might be reassuring to think that the state just wants our hapiness but I don't think that's true , you don't have to be religious to believe in evil.

  9. T H E O R I G I N O F C O u N T L E S S C O N S P I R a C Y T h e O R I E S
    O R I G I N O F C O U N T l E S S C O N S P I R A C Y t H E O R I E S
    O F C O U N T L E S S C o N S P I R A C Y T H E O R I e S
    C O U N T L E S S C O N s P I R A C Y T H E O R I E S
    C O N S P I R A C Y T H e O R I E S
    T H E O R I E S
    ………..

    Deciphered message – U LOSE I ATE HE

    But now the real puzzle is just beginning: Who was the man that the author of this message made a meal of, and who had something to lose if this man was eaten?

    And what is TED-ED TRYING TO HIDE FROM US?!!!

  10. Conspiracy theories also serve a deep emotional need to be special, to be right about something, or to explain why one's life isn't going the way they want. When you show insufficient enthusiasm for someone's conspiracy claims, they interpret that as a very personal and violent attack against them, and may launch into an aggressive counterattack. I avoid conversations with (or even proximity to) certain family members because of this. :/

  11. Let's extend this logic a bit further….

    1) Human's a poor at differing between genuine patterns/indications of a conspiracy and what is a random coincidence
    2) It is therefore difficult for people to recognize when the public story is true compared to a real conspiracy
    3) It is therefore easy to get away with a conspiracy
    4) Given that it is easy, many people will do conspiracies when it profits them
    5) Therefore Many conspiracies are true

  12. This is a channel avoided by Flat Earthers. Just saw a video from one of them saying volcanoes are man made by NASA in order to prevent digging for the truth. ?

  13. I always wondered how did earth have the right proportion of elements completely flawless to support life. Well this theory explains it could happen. Given enough elements in a set or structure (universe) some particular interesting pattern among them(like an ecosystem) is guaranteed. If what has hap pent has worked the way I have interpreted the Ramsey Theory then I would like to know whether more than one such a pattern could be guaranteed in the same structure. There could be a lot of scientists and mathematicians around here. Please take a small peek into this matter.

  14. So in other words, if you take any 6 things there will always be a way in which at least 3 things are all connected to each other in some way. Conspiracies usually exist because a few things all seem connected. Ramsey Theory shows that you can always find order within a seemingly disorderly system. R(3,3) just means you want to know the minimum number of people needed such that 3 people either know each other or 3 don't; which is not to say that any 3 people all know each other in a group of 6. Combinatorics is not statistics. The higher the minimum people you want to know each other or not beyond the trivial cases, the faster the minimum people you need grows.

  15. Moral: You can construct various delusions from the evidence. Truth: More often than you trendies realize, it is you who believes a misinformation delusion, while the "conspiracy theorist" are aware of the truth.

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